Sunday, September 7, 2014

Poll finds majority in favour of Scottish independence (Second poll favours ‘No Vote’)

A poll ahead of Scotland’s upcoming referendum has found the majority of voters to be in favour of Scottish Independence.
The YouGov research for the Sunday Times has found 51% of people support independence, compared to 49% who want to remain in the UK.
The results are the latest evidence of a dramatic surge for the 'yes' campaign led by First Minister Alex Salmond, which has seen the gap between the sides decrease in a matter of months.

The two point gap is within the margin of error for such polls, meaning a genuine majority won’t be known until polling day, 18 September.
YouGov has charted a remarkable turnaround for the pro-independence side, which has seen them recover from a 22 point deficit in just one month.
Writing in the Sunday Mirror, former Prime Minister Gordon Brown acknowledged that the referendum battle was proving tougher than some had expected, and said it was the fault of the Tory party.
"Why has it been difficult to win Scottish votes in support of this principle of sharing that most Scots hold dear?" the Labour MP wrote.
"Many are angry that the Bedroom Tax was imposed upon Scots against their will while at the same time the very wealthy received tax cuts.
"The SNP also claim that the ramifications of any Tory privatisation of the NHS in England will cut budgets in Scotland.
"But English and Welsh people have already given an answer to the SNP claims.
"The answer is that 90% of English people want to keep the NHS public and retain it free at the point of need.
"And the vast majority across the whole UK dislike the Bedroom Tax and would even consider more taxes to make our NHS better."
He added: "Our union is not out of date or an anachronism or a museum piece but a unique, unparalleled, multinational living partnership that Europe and America cannot match or mirror.
"And what our ancestors built up, no nationalist should be allowed to split asunder."
Labour leader Ed Miliband raised the prospect of manned border posts being introduced if Scotland votes to go independent.
In an interview with the Scottish Mail on Sunday, he insisted: 'If you don't want borders, vote to stay in the United Kingdom."
A spokesman for Mr Miliband added: "the last time I looked there were two sides to the border - and we would be in charge of one of them.
It would be up to us, not Mr Salmond, to secure our northern border."

Second poll favours ‘No Vote’
A second poll, carried out by Panelbase for ‘Yes Scotland’ found a no vote to be leading with 52% to 48% when undecided voters are excluded.
The poll, conducted between 2 September and 6 September, also found that 47% of women support independence, which ‘Yes Scotland’ says is a 13 point increase in six months.
Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said "these are exceptionally positive and encouraging figures - and the Panelbase poll shows record support for independence among women.
"Yes still has a lot of work to do to win on the 18th, we remain the underdogs, but we approach the final 10 days with huge enthusiasm and confidence.
'Yes Scotland' chief executive Blair Jenkins said the YouGov poll showed that the independence campaign has the momentum.
"While this poll puts us marginally ahead, other polls show that we still have more progress to make if we are to win," Mr Jenkins said.


  1. Supporters of Scottish independence have taken their first opinion poll lead since the referendum campaign began, which indicates a real possibility that they might win, according to a YouGov survey for the Sunday Times newspaper....

    With less than two weeks to go before the Sept. 18 vote, the poll puts the "Yes" to independence campaign on 51 percent against the unionists on 49 percent, overturning a 22-point lead for the unionist campaign in just a month, the Sunday Times said.

    The paper announced the headline results in a news release ahead of publication but gave no further details of the poll.

    YouGov later said on its website that the results excluded those who would not vote and those who do not yet know. With those groups included, secessionists would be on 47 percent and unionists would be on 45 percent, it added.

    It said that the poll, conducted after pro-independence leader Alex Salmond was widely judged to have won the second of two televised debates, amounts to a statistical dead heat at the moment.................

  2. Ecosse: l'indépendance pour la première fois en tête dans un sondage...

    Les partisans de l'indépendance de l'Ecosse sont pour la première fois en tête dans un sondage qui doit être publié dimanche, à onze jours du référendum, par le Sunday Times.

    Selon ce sondage YouGov/Sunday Times, le camp du "oui", favorable à l'indépendance, remporte 51% d'opinions favorables alors que le camp des opposants n'en compte que 49%.

    Suspense à 10 jours du référendum

    Bien que l'écart de deux points s'inscrive dans la marge d'erreur reconnue par le sondage, les résultats accroissent d'une manière spectaculaire le suspense avant le référendum du 18 septembre, donnant des chances sérieuses au Parti national du Premier ministre écossais Alex Salmond.

    Les unionistes de "Better Together", partisans d'un maintien de l'Ecosse au sein du Royaume Uni, ont été largement en tête des sondages pendant des mois, mais l'écart avec les indépendantistes s'est considérablement réduit dans les récents sondages ces derniers jours.................

  3. UK to give Scotland more powers if shuns independence: Osborne....

    Reuters) - Britain's government will set out plans in the coming days to give Scotland more autonomy on tax, spending and welfare if it rejects independence in a referendum on Sept. 18, British finance minister George Osborne said on Sunday.

    Osborne was speaking to BBC television after supporters of Scottish independence took their first opinion poll lead since the referendum campaign began.

    "You will see in the next few days a plan of action to give more powers to Scotland, more tax powers, more spending powers, more .... powers over the welfare state and ... that will be put into effect the moment there is a 'no' vote in the referendum," he said...............

  4. Scottish referendum: Shock new poll says Scots set to vote for independence...

    The people of Scotland are to be offered a historic opportunity to devise a federal future for their country before next year's general election, it emerged on Saturday night, as a shock new poll gave the campaign for independence a narrow lead for the first time.

    Amid signs of panic and recrimination among unionist ranks about the prospects of a yes vote on 18 September, the Observer has learned that a devolution announcement designed to halt the nationalist bandwagon is due to be made within days by the anti-independence camp.

    The plan, in the event of a no vote, is that people from all parts of Scottish society – rather than just politicians – would be invited to take part in a Scottish conference or convention that would decide on further large-scale transfers of power from London to Holyrood....................

  5. British prime minister implores Scots not to break up United Kingdom...

    LONDON: British Prime Minister David Cameron implored Scots on Tuesday to not vote for independence in next week's referendum, pledging to do everything he could to keep the United Kingdom together.

    Speaking after announcing he would miss his weekly question-and-answer session in parliament to campaign for the union in Scotland, Cameron said the rest of the United Kingdom wanted Scotland to stay.

    He would make every effort to persuade the Scots to stay. "I will do everything I can," he told the BBC.

    "The right place to be isn't in Westminster at Prime Minister's Questions; it's being in Scotland listening to people, talking to people," he added.

    "In the end, it is for the Scottish people to decide, but I want them to know that the rest of the United Kingdom — and I speak as prime minister — want them to stay."

  6. Le Royaume-Uni a développé un ensemble de mesures d'urgence en cas de proclamation de l'indépendance de l'Ecosse. Cela a été rapporté par le ministère britannique des Finances...

    Plus tôt, le ministre des Finances du Royaume-Uni, George Osborne a déclaré que l'Ecosse « comme un pays indépendant ne partagera pas la livre sterling avec le reste du Royaume-Uni, si les partisans de l’indépendance remportent le scrutin ».

    Un référendum sur l'indépendance écossaise aura lieu le 18 septembre.
    Lire la suite:


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